jack江

jack江

The mind is calm and natural Entering must be cautious, only for reference and not responsible for the consequences All notes are accountable only to oneself and not to others

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jack江
jack江
Starting today, set a rule for yourself: analyze the trends of at least 5 coins every day. Not to show off, not to place trades, but simply to maintain sensitivity to the market. The market never gives advance notice; it only rewards those who watch and review the charts daily. 5 coins, no more, no less. Spend an hour or two going through the structure, checking the volume, and feeling the key levels. Over time, the signals that others can't see will gradually come into your view. The act of persistence itself is worth more than any single trade. Starting today, no exceptions. $BTC $ETH $SOL
jack江
jack江
🔥Brothers, a shocking signal exposes a big underlying problem 🔥This market looks like it's about to make a move. I'm bullish on this wave, but if 78,000 doesn't hold, I'll run immediately. Right now, BTC is hovering around 77,900, having bounced back nearly 1,500 points from 76,588. Many are asking: should we go long or short this wave? My answer: leaning bullish, but not holding stubbornly. The core is one sentence—if it holds above 78,000, it can surge to 80,000; if not, it will fall back to 76,000. Look at the current chart: the 15-minute candlestick is hugging MA5 and MA10, with some support at the low end. The short-term minor high is at 78,161; breaking past that will lift sentiment. But the problem is clear—no volume increase. The 78,000 level has been tested three times without a solid hold. Plus, with US Treasury yields soaring to 5.18%, the overall environment is suppressing momentum; no one dares to say it will take off directly. So my strategy is simple: · If BTC breaks and holds above 78,000 with volume, I'll add a small long position, stop loss at 77,500, first target between 78,800-79,000. · If it keeps hovering around 78,000, I'll stay put. · If it breaks below 77,500, I'll flip to short or exit. Additionally, the Samsung strike has been postponed, reducing chip supply chain risks; US tech stocks are still holding up with AI support. Nvidia's earnings beat expectations; although it dipped slightly after hours, overall it's not bad. As long as tech stocks don't collapse, BTC has hope to recover. One last reminder: don't bet on a breakout below 78,000. Wait until it truly holds above before going up; being a few minutes late won't lose money. I'm leaning bullish on this wave but only trust one signal—78,000. Do you think it can hold? See you in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #英伟达完美财报:市场为何不买账 #SpaceX递交招股书:首次披露BTC持仓 #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点
jack江
jack江
🔥Brothers, it's here, it's here 🔥Something big just happened, total panic, what on earth is this? 🚨 BSB: From hell to heaven, then falling back to earth, all within 24 hours. $BSB surged from a low of $0.75377 to $2.64509 in the past 24 hours, a peak increase of 250%, then dropped back to $0.97688, with a 24-hour amplitude of 250.9%. One spike shoots to the sky, another plunges back to the ground. If you chased in at $2.6, you're now hanging on the flagpole like a kite. Why did this happen? No official announcements, no listing news, no whale transfers—only speculative funds and leveraged trading flooding in wildly. The RWA narrative triggered sector rotation, directing funds to highly volatile small-cap tokens. BSB even rose 39.2% against the market downturn on May 18, and this seems like a continuation of the same batch of high-risk hot money. Some KOLs in the community analyze that the main funds have been quietly selling off, with buy orders unable to hold, and technicals show 4H bullish momentum shrinking, funding rates nearly zero. This kind of candlestick isn’t about rising or falling; it’s the whales using retail traders’ positions as tissue paper to wipe their hands. BSB is essentially a low market cap crypto token, with a circulating supply of about 223 million, operating in a high-risk, high-volatility range. For this kind of asset, whoever believes the story ends up paying the price. Every viral surge is just supplying ammo for the next round of crashes. $BSB
jack江
jack江
🔥 Brothers, urgent notice⚠️ An emergency alert has just been issued At noon 12:00, BTC stabilized at $78,000. At midday, Bitcoin was quoted at $77,889—$78,012, up about 1.6% intraday, strongly rebounding from the May 19 low of $76,200, with a 24-hour high reaching $78,071. Ethereum also warmed up to $2,140—$2,144, up about 1.6% intraday. SOL rose 2.84%, performing the strongest, with altcoin sentiment clearly heating up. 📊 Liquidations: Shorts were bloodied. In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw $250 million liquidated, with short liquidations at $168 million, accounting for a high 67.2%. The shorts just experienced the most brutal short squeeze in two weeks. 🎯 Triple driving forces: ① Middle East tensions cooling down. Trump's advisory team is eager to call an end to the Iran conflict, with peace talks between the US and Iran entering the "final stage." Oil prices fell below $100 in response, and the 10-year US Treasury yield retreated to around 4.5%—the macroeconomic noose that was burning at 5.2% just days ago is loosening strand by strand. ② SpaceX drops the bombshell. SpaceX, under Musk, submitted an S-1 IPO filing showing it holds 18,712 BTC as of the end of 2025, purchased at about $35,000 each. At current prices, the holding value is about $1.45 billion. One of the world's most watched tech giants declared to the world through the IPO filing: Bitcoin is part of the company's asset allocation. ③ Samsung strike officially starts today. After negotiations finally broke down, 50,000 people commenced an 18-day general strike as scheduled. The uncertainty in the global semiconductor supply chain did not trigger panic selling, partly because the market had already priced in expectations, and sentiment stabilized after the negative news was released. 📋 The subtle "concerns" of the CLARITY Act are also beginning to surface. The bill passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 by 15 to 9 votes, but media reports revealed "last-minute negotiation compromises" to secure Democratic support before the vote, which may have left unfavorable wording for decentralized protocols in the DeFi regulatory provisions. The honeymoon of optimism is not over yet, but the hidden reefs in the details of the law have already emerged. Midday key highlights: Macro risk appetite warming + SpaceX's over $1.4 billion holding exposed + Samsung strike boots dropped + Shorts liquidated + US Treasury yields sharply retreating—five layers of momentum resonating around $78,000. $77,500 has stabilized, but the quality of the rebound depends on whether $78,500–$79,000 can be effectively broken through. The bulls' bones are not yet cold, but at least—the midday sun shines on the bodies of the shorts.☀️ $BTC $ETH $ZEC #英伟达完美财报:市场为何不买账 #SpaceX递交招股书:首次披露BTC持仓 #加息重回讨论桌:美债利率逼近19年高点
jack江
jack江
🔥 Brothers, it's here, it's here 🔥 Today's latest news is here $77,500, the bulls held strong for a while. Bitcoin is currently priced at $77,500-$77,600, up about 0.98% in 24 hours, narrowly escaping the $76,000 level. Ethereum simultaneously rebounded to $2,138, up 1.32%. About $225 million liquidated in the past 24 hours. Short positions liquidated $136 million, far exceeding the $89.26 million liquidated from long positions — short-sellers were selectively liquidated. 🎯 The bullish candle I warned you about yesterday really came through today. Nasdaq futures rose 0.3%, Nvidia pre-market up 2.1%, Intel up over 8%, AMD up over 5% — the collective rally in chip stocks is reigniting risk appetite, and the crypto market has strongly returned above $77,500 from the weak $76,000 zone, keeping pace with this momentum. 🔪 But danger is still lurking outside. Samsung's strike officially starts today. Semiconductor factories lose up to $668 million per day of shutdown. If the strike extends beyond two weeks, supply chain issues will reignite inflation expectations, putting crypto under secondary pressure. The 30-year US Treasury yield remains steady above 5.18%, with a 5% risk-free return on the table — why would institutional funds flow into zero-coupon assets at $77,500? 📋 Greater uncertainty: Nvidia earnings countdown The real highlight is after market close — at 4:00 AM Beijing time on May 22, Nvidia will release its Q1 FY2026 earnings report. This is not only the pricing anchor for chip stocks but also a secondary confirmation of the short-term direction of the crypto market. If results beat expectations, $77,500 may just be the starting line of this rebound; if below expectations, the bulls' brief respite may vanish at any time. $77,500 has been tested, but holding that level is what counts. The quality of the rebound depends on tonight's US market open and Nvidia's report card. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #Trade US stocks on OKX: Which side are the AI giants betting on? #US Treasury yields near 19-year highs: Risk assets under broad pressure #Samsung negotiation breakdown: The largest strike in history is confirmed to start
jack江
jack江
📅 Must-Read Morning of May 21: Oil Price Crash Rewrites the Script! Can BTC's Rebound Continue? 1. 🔥 Headline: BTC Rebounds to 77,600, Crypto Market Cap Surges $20 Billion Overnight After days of leverage liquidation, Bitcoin finally launched a counterattack on Tuesday night, surging from 76,700 to above 77,600, driving the total crypto market cap to jump over $20 billion in a single day, returning to the $2.66 trillion mark. But the real driver behind this rebound is not internal hype, but the macro engine restarting—major breakthrough in US-Iran talks! Trump personally stated the negotiations have entered the "final stage." Brent crude oil plunged nearly 6% in one day to below $105 per barrel, with WTI falling below $100. WTI crude has directly dropped to $97. Previously, high oil prices were the core force weighing down the crypto market for a whole week. At this point, every $1 drop in oil price reduces pressure on crypto and other risk assets. What needs to be viewed calmly is that the deal still has uncertainties—Iran still believes Washington is "trying to restart the war." The market is currently trading not on confirmed peace but on early pricing of potential diplomatic breakthroughs, so short-term crypto trends remain highly uncertain. 2. 📊 Liquidations and Funding Signals: Uneven Recovery, Both Bulls and Bears Should Be Cautious In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the network reached about $153 million, balanced between longs and shorts, each around $80 million. The long-short ratio difference has significantly narrowed, clearly different from yesterday’s heavy long liquidation. However, ETF funds are still fleeing—Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $331 million yesterday, marking the third consecutive trading day of net outflows. One BlackRock IBIT product alone accounted for $326 million of outflows. While BlackRock is massively reducing holdings, SOL and XRP ETFs received moderate net inflows of about $3.78 million and $1.48 million respectively, indicating an initial trend of funds shifting from blue-chip large caps to altcoin ETFs. Macro and micro indicators are moving in opposite directions; a clear one-sided signal has yet to be confirmed. 3. 📜 Policy Silence: Bill Progress Stalled, Short-Term Bullish Catalysts Absent The CLARITY Act passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 15 with a 15-9 vote, but the full Senate vote is expected only after the Memorial Day recess on May 21, and passing the 60-vote threshold remains difficult. The Trump administration set July 4 as the signing target, but there is significant uncertainty in the window before the full vote. 4. 🤖 AI Sector Continues Structural Rally Market funds are still testing the narrative since February that "the AI sector only rewards real products." Venice AI (VVV) surged over 11% in the past 24 hours to $16.27, pushing its market cap to $746 million, driven by major DeFi integrations, Robinhood listing rumors, and token burn events. Venice allows users to access multiple models including ChatGPT, Grok, and Anthropic through a single interface, with clear product logic. Bittensor (TAO) maintains high daily trading volume, with buyers consistently absorbing above $300; other mid-cap AI tokens are repricing following VVV’s structural rally. Fetch.ai recently launched the AEVS verification system, directly addressing the core issue of "how AI agents prove themselves," and is being studied by some long-term funds. 5. 📌 Today's Focus and Risk Control BTC Key Levels: 77,600 is the key resistance; whether it can hold will determine the short-term direction; 76,600 is the last defense line for bulls. Whether oil prices continue to fall is the biggest variable today. If WTI falls further, macro pressure on crypto will continue to ease; if US-Iran talks falter, risk-off sentiment may rise again. Before the weekend, keep leverage under 3x and altcoin positions below 15%. The market is pricing in "geopolitical easing" expectations, not confirmed facts. Resilience and uncertainty coexist; preserving principal is the priority. $BTC $ETH $SOL #在OKX交易美股:AI双雄押哪边? #美债利率近19年新高:风险资产全线承压 #三星谈判破裂:史上最大规模罢工确定启动
jack江
jack江
🔥Brothers, it's here, it's here 🔥Major positive news is here 🚨 Chip prices surge + oil prices plummet, a long-awaited breather for the crypto market. On the evening of May 20, US chip stocks exploded across the board, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising nearly 3%. Intel CEO Chen Liwu stated: AI is shifting from training to inference, and the CPU to GPU ratio could reach 4:1 — the market instantly repriced the AI hardware narrative, with Intel's stock soaring over 8%, AMD up over 5%, ARM up over 11%, Marvell Technology up over 8%, and the Nasdaq collectively rallying. At the same time, there was a major turning point in the Strait of Hormuz situation. Trump publicly announced his hope to "end the Iran conflict very quickly," causing international oil prices to plunge sharply. WTI crude futures dropped more than 4%, and Brent crude futures also fell over 4%. For the crypto market, this is a double positive: The sentiment transmission from US tech stocks — the chip stock surge boosts risk appetite, leading to a synchronous rebound in crypto-related stocks, with Strategy (MSTR) up 0.57%, indirectly supporting Bitcoin. The oil price plunge directly suppresses inflation expectations — previously, oil prices breaking $110 was a major driver for renewed rate hike expectations. Now with oil prices falling sharply, the tightening panic caused by the April CPI rebound to 3.8% is expected to ease temporarily. But the problem is — this is just a breather, not a reversal. The short-term pricing power of the crypto market is still firmly in the hands of the Federal Reserve. The 30-year US Treasury yield broke through 5.20% intraday, the highest since 2007; the 10-year yield rose to 4.68%; the market still prices over an 80% chance of rate hikes in 2026. The nearly $1 billion outflow from Bitcoin ETFs over two days and the five consecutive days of a slow decline have yet to be truly filled. Intraday, BTC briefly rebounded from around $76,500 to $77,000, but the rebound remains fragile. This bullish candle in chip stocks is a crack. The capital flowing back into the tech sector means institutions are repricing the AI hardware narrative — this may not be a direct source of FOMO for cryptocurrencies, but it is a subtle signal that after derivatives markets clear longs, the market is shifting from a "pure macro squeeze" to a "dual macro and tech narrative." The geopolitical premium has been quickly removed by oil prices, and the marginal easing of inflation expectations is today's most important fundamental variable. Whether $BTC can hold $75,000 - $76,000 will determine the quality of this rebound. Wait for BTC to stabilize above $78,000 before talking about a trend reversal. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
jack江
jack江
🔥 May 20 Evening Review: Fifth day of a slow decline, the critical 75,000 survival line looms overhead. BTC has closed lower for five consecutive days, currently trading at $76,800-$77,200, with a volatility of less than $500 and a rebound capped at $77,300. ETH is at $2,113, the lowest since April 7. The Fear Index has dropped to 25, entering "Extreme Fear". 📊 Liquidation structure reversal: In the past 24 hours, the total network liquidations reached $440 million, with shorts taking the lead for the first time ($180 million vs. $140 million) — a two-way squeeze has begun. However, on Monday, $657 million in liquidations occurred in a single day, 89% of which were longs, the aftermath still fresh. Spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $650 million in one day, with BlackRock accounting for $450 million. ⚔️ The real opponent is the bond market: The 30-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.197%, the highest since 2007. Trump canceled strikes on Iran, and the market showed no reaction — because the idea of rate hikes has replaced data as the core pricing factor. April CPI is 3.8%, rate cut expectations have dropped to zero, and the probability of rate hikes has risen to 80%. 🇰🇷 Samsung strike starts tomorrow: Over 50,000 participants, lasting 18 days. If production halts extend to DRAM, inflation expectations will rise again, putting pressure on risk assets. 🐋 Whale divergence: Super whales have costs between 80k-85k and are already at a loss; small whales have opened $21 million long positions around 77k. The direction is split, leaving retail investors caught in the middle. 📌 Conclusion: 76,000 is the last defensive line for bulls; if broken, expect 74-75k. Facing a risk-free yield of 5.197% on US Treasuries, are you still willing to hold a zero-coupon asset? Deleverage, wait for signals, and watch the Samsung situation tomorrow morning. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #三星谈判破裂:史上最大规模罢工确定启动
jack江
jack江
🔥 Brothers, 📢 urgent notice ⚠️ A shocking signal just came out $76,800, under pressure for five consecutive days. BTC is currently around $77,000, declining for the fifth consecutive trading day, with a weekly drop expanding to 4.61%, retracing over 7% from the $82,000 peak. Spot ETF saw a net outflow of $648.6 million on Monday, the largest single-day net outflow since January 29. Bitcoin perpetual futures open interest hit $29 billion on May 5, a new high since the end of January, with leverage accumulation completely disconnected from price movement. Price has been consolidating with low volume around $76,800 for 5 consecutive days, with Tuesday’s single-day volatility only about $300. This is not a bottoming process; liquidity inside the market is drying up. The network-wide staking yield has dropped to almost zero, while holding costs are soaring. --- The second macro sell-off has landed last night. The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.682%, breaking the 2025 high; the 30-year yield reached 5.20%, the highest since 2007. Swap contracts indicate about 20 basis points of rate hikes by year-end, with nearly 80% probability of a 25 basis point hike; expectations for a rate hike in January next year are fully priced in. Oil prices stabilized above $110, inflation expectations continue to rise, and zero-yield assets are fully suppressed by the 5% risk-free rate. The CLARITY Act passed the Senate Banking Committee 15-9 and moved to full Senate vote, but the "buy rumor, sell fact" scenario is playing out again. --- 🇰🇷 Samsung has exploded. On the morning of May 20, Samsung Electronics labor negotiations finally broke down. The union announced an 18-day general strike starting May 21, involving over 50,000 participants. Samsung stated that "the union’s excessive demands may undermine basic management principles," with core disagreements over performance bonus distribution. Sentiment transmission has already begun; after KOSPI panic spread, Korean funds withdrawing from the stock market and flowing into crypto can be seen in every trading day of May. --- 📊 Liquidations continue. About $159 million liquidated across the network in the past 24 hours, with longs accounting for nearly $100 million or 62%. The bulls’ blood is not yet dry. Of the $657 million single-day liquidation on Monday, 89% came from longs. The crypto market keeps shattering beliefs one by one. The most stubborn gamblers are still at the table. After "Brother Maji"’s 25x ETH long was fully liquidated, he immediately reopened a new 25x long. Cumulative losses have exceeded $32.4 million, yet he still bets on the market. --- Once $76,000 breaks, chain liquidations will target $1.189 billion. The bulls’ flesh-and-blood defense line is only a few millimeters thick; where is your liquidation price? Survive tonight first, then talk about bottom fishing. $BTC $ETH $DOGE #在OKX交易美股:AI双雄押哪边? #美债利率近19年新高:风险资产全线承压 #三星谈判破裂:史上最大规模罢工确定启动
jack江
jack江
🔥 Brothers, it's here, it's here 🚨 Tonight, the market is still sharpening its knives. BTC is hovering around $76,800, ETH at $2,113, the lowest opening since May 1st. Three consecutive days of decline, with over $100 billion wiped off total market cap, and $870 million in liquidations—both bulls and bears are running out of steam. A slow bleed is more deadly than a crash—each drop is like torture. --- 🔪 The bears' fear has dissipated, and the bulls' conviction is exhausted. $159 million liquidated in 24 hours, $100 million longs, nearly $60 million shorts—both sides are bleeding. BTC is tugging back and forth between $76,000 and $77,000, unable to rebound past $77,300, and support is on the verge of collapse. ⚠️ The real blade isn't in the candlesticks, but in interest rates: the 30-year US Treasury yield has surged to 5.197%, the highest since 2007. The 10-year is at 4.687%, a new high in over a year. Trump canceling strikes on Iran? The market doesn't even care—because the real opponent now is not Iran, but the bond market. Inflation has locked in a 5% risk-free rate; how can risk assets catch a breath? 💣 Another boot just dropped tonight: Yonhap News confirms Samsung's union and management talks have ended, and an 18-day strike will start as scheduled tomorrow. Production halts are just the surface; the real issue is the emotional contagion—Korean panic combined with US Treasury pressure, how many days can $76,000 hold? --- Monday's 89% long liquidation (out of $657 million, $584 million were longs) is no accident; it's a structural cleansing alarm. BTC dropping from $82,000 to $76,800, every bearish candle tells you: this is not the place to bottom-fish. Bottom at $75,000? Or will it break further? Wait for candlestick confirmation before making a move. Deleverage, wait for signals. Tonight, watch only, no action. ⏳ #美债利率近19年新高:风险资产全线承压
jack江
jack江
🔥 Brothers, it's here, it's here $ZEC: The only contrarian in a bloodbath. $BTC fell below 77,000, Ethereum lost 2,100, mainstream coins are all in the red. Yet ZEC surged over 6% against the trend, quoted at $553-566, with an 18% increase over three days. Are you the one watching others' accounts turn green? 📊 Data doesn't lie. ZEC futures open interest soared to $1.23 billion, a 35% increase in 24 hours. Since starting from $320 on April 29, leveraged funds are rushing in, retail FOMO fully ignited. 🐋 Whale betting, a decisive battle between bulls and bears is imminent. The "largest ZEC bull" holds a 10x leveraged long position worth $12.35 million, with an average entry price of $463, adding to the position when the price dropped to $449 against the trend. Another whale is even more aggressive—10x leverage with $19.68 million, opening 36,875 ZEC. Bears are equally fierce: the "largest short" holds about $17.48 million at an average price of $419, with an unrealized loss exceeding $1.64 million. Bulls and bears are locked in a standoff, with the outcome decided by the liquidation price. 📈 Technicals: Cup and handle pattern completed, target at $1,091. The ZEC/USD daily chart is in the final stage of a cup and handle pattern. If completed, the price could surge to $1,091 in June-July, representing an 88% upside from the current level. Holding above $560 targets $598-641 next; breaking $641 opens $745. ⚡ Fundamental dual engines: The SEC officially ended its two-year investigation into the Zcash Foundation without recommending enforcement action, completely removing regulatory overhang. Meanwhile, Zcash will launch a quantum-recoverable wallet within a month and achieve full post-quantum status within 12-18 months, becoming the world's first mainstream blockchain with practical quantum protection. Conclusion: BTC struggles on the life-and-death line between 75,000-77,000, ETH falls below 2,100—ZEC alone remains rock solid near $550. The privacy sector is becoming the core narrative of this cycle, with ZEC at the center. Risks are clear: resistance at $625-650 above, support at $518 below; losing $518 could retest $488. Bull whales have entered, SEC cleared the fog, quantum upgrade is imminent. Are you still waiting for the last chance to buy below $500? #美债利率近19年新高:风险资产全线承压
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